- Clinton looks to have a smooth path to the nomination.
- Trump still leads the Republican race. (You can find the delegate count here)
- It's looking like a contested convention in Cleveland for the Republicans and a messy one with Rubio now out of the race.
So, where are we? What are your three takeaways from the campaign as of this week? Here's an article to get your thoughts going.
I whole heartedly believe that we are headed towards a Clinton/Bernie vs Trump/Cruz race. Bernie pulled out an upset victory in Michigan, with still quite a bit of momentum, but he doesn't have the force behind him that he needs. However, with Hillary desperately trying to appeal to millennials, what better way to do so then by getting Sanders on her side which would all but secure her presidency. Kasich with the win in Ohio is big, and he would be an amazing republican candidate that could appeal to both sides, but he doesn't have the backing that he needs and he's not loud, so no one hears what he has to say despite the fact that he is fair and balanced. Rubio dropping out was a shock, except that it wasn't. Losing your home state is an insult and it hit him hard. This is clearly not Rubio's time, but he's only 44 with a whole career ahead of him, we haven't seen the last of Rubio.
ReplyDeleteI find it interesting that democrats would rather fight Trump over ridiculous topics and insults toward one another than fight for their party's nomination and against each other. However, on the Democratic side, I still have hopes for Bernie and that his appeal to young voters can pull through and reach the height that Clinton has achieved, as I feel he would be a better nominee than Clinton. I think it was a huge win for Kasich in Ohio, but not nearly enough to catapult him up in the ranks with Cruz, let alone Trump. I feel that he came in to the race too late or at least too quiet. It may even be the fact that Trump is just too loud to be overpowered by other nominees. While I do not like the idea of a Clinton vs Trump race, it has not surprised me from the beginning, and either candidate will be a huge change for the country.
ReplyDeleteMy takeaways were and are:
ReplyDelete1) It was no shocker, and I believe even pro-Sanders voters understood the eventuality, that Clinton would become the candidate for the Democrats. This primary was just another example of Clinton's success. The next question would be: "Will Hillary be our next president?" And it seems like the answer may be yes.
2)Rubio's suspension of his candidacy really surprised me. I felt that despite Trump's and Cruz's success in the polls, Rubio would see the potential in the general election to win the more moderate Republican voters (or really any Republican who would not like to see Trump for president). By dropping out, he essentially handed the election to Trump (or Cruz) which I assumed he would never have done. I suppose Rubio's votes may go to Kaisch, but to what effect? Trump is so far ahead.
3) Based on many class discussions and the news, I never questioned a Trump vs. Clinton race. Although, I have certainly hoped it would not have come to a T vs. C race. Trump has captured the votes, surprisingly, and seems to be continuing on the up-swing (although I sense his fall soon). Clinton, on the other hand, has been successful in the primaries, has a lot of experience in the White House, and has the "first woman for president" going for her too. However, Hillary's email scandal is still on everyone's mind. Both candidates have their pros and cons, but Trump and Clinton will be the official nominations, I am sure of it.
1.) Rubio dropping out was not a shocker at all. His whole 3-2-1 strategy didnt work out for him and he couldnt even win his home state. Rubio does have a promising future ahead of him, but this year wasnt it. He was getting killed in the polls and primaries, so it didnt make sense to keep spending money.
ReplyDelete2.) Kasich's win wasn't significant. He is so far behind trump and cruz. This is completely a two man race for nomination now between Trump and Cruz. But unless there is a contested convention, Trump is going to definiteley be the nominee.
3.) Bernie voters need to give up. Hillary isn't going to lose, mainly because her party won't let her. Her super delegate lead is enormous and she is the clear candidate. Even if bernie was somehow able to win the nomination and the election, he would get nothing done. His plan to make everything "free" costs $19 trillion and something tells me that our republican congress wont let that happen. Hillary is going to be the democratic nominee and unfortunately, may be our president. God help us if so.
1) One takeaway that I have is that the electorate that is keeping Sanders in the race is primarily the independent sector. He appeals strongly to young voters and workers, thus allowing him to gain a number of delegates. I feel as if this is what motivates him to continue his campaign and have some faith in it even though Clinton will most likely be the nominee with her 314 delegate lead. Despite Hillary's success, I believe that Sanders will persist in spreading his message by largely directing it at those who avoid party affiliation.
ReplyDelete2) Another takeaway that I have is that the Democrats are certainly targeting Trump rather than each other due to the fact that the more they deplore the enemy, for example with regards to the way in which he will possibly unfavorably represent the country, the more they feel as if voters will relate to and be drawn to them. Also, I believe that they, specifically Hillary, will focus on Trump more because she is preparing for what she thinks, and is likely to be, a general election race between him and her. It seems as if the Democratic Party notices that the Republicans are somewhat divided and is playing off of this in order to show Americans how much more united they are by contrast.
3) The last takeaway I have is that the Republican convention at Cleveland will be hotly contested. I do not question that Trump has the ability to earn 1237 delegates but it is hard to easily project that as of now. It seems as if the GOP will be divided due to the fact that Kasich is more moderate, Cruz is very conservative, and Trump is the outsider playing on white, old Americans' angry and fearful emotions. One should keep in mind that at the first Republican debate, Trump fearlessly admitted that he would run as an independent if not named the nominee of the GOP, but it seems too early for his dedication to this and its effects to be predicted.
Katelyn Wolfgang:
ReplyDelete1) I am not surprised that Rubio dropped out after he lost his home state. It did not seem as if he was going to win and if you cannot even count on your own state to like you enough, than you cannot really count on anyone else. I did not expect him to stay in after this unless he somehow managed to win Florida, which I doubted.
2) Kasich seems to have some power that will help lead this to a most likely contested convention, with him winning a state, but he is just too late in the game to do well enough to get the nomination.
3)Hilary is going to get the nomination whether Bernie fans like it or not. While the independents are helping him hold on, he just cannot match up with her having over 300 more delegates as well as over 400 super delegates. His ideas are just to extreme to gain the votes that he needs.
I was not surprised that Rubio dropped out. He lost in his home state by a significant margin, and the poll numbers were not in his favor. However, I think he does have the ability to run again in the future and will be more successful. I am also not surprised that Kasich won Ohio, since he was the governor. However, I don't think this will have a significant impact on Trump, unless he doesn't receive enough delegates to get the automatic nomination. However, at this point, I don't think that is very likely. Finally, I think the more Trump wins on the republican side, the more likely Clinton will become president. It is now nearly impossible for Sanders to get the nomination over Clinton. If the two candidates in the general election are Trump and Clinton, I think Clinton will get the majority just because voters tend to vote for who they know and Trump is seen as a more risky candidate.
ReplyDeleteThe biggest surprise of the night was Rubio's loss in Florida, but it was not at all surprising that it led him to drop out. He just didn't have enough momentum to be able to pull it off. We should keep an eye out where his delegates go, because if a majority go to Kasich, that means a big three-way race on the Republican side.
ReplyDeleteOn the democratic side, I think that Hillary's big night on Tuesday is putting Bernie's campaign in jeopardy. He is still only 300 delegates down (not including the 450 or so super delegate advantage that Hillary has), but he has to pull some major upsets in the coming weeks in order to pull ahead. At a minimum, we could be facing a split convention for the Democrats, too.
Finally, a look at the republican delegates count shows that Trump is still ahead by a good margin, and he's halfway to the delegate minimum for nomination. As pointed out in the New York Times article, there are few scenarios that trump doesn't get the nomination. Yet, if Trump doesn't win California and a few other important states, then no one could get enough delegates.
It isn't surprising that Clinton appears to have a smooth path to the nomination. However, there is still hope, especially among young voters that he could still win the nomination. If Sanders wants to be viable he will need to win by some major upsets in the coming primaries and caucus'.
ReplyDeleteOn the Republican side, I expected Rubio to drop out. His losses in the previous primaries has made him unviable in the eyes of many Republican voters. I think Trump will still remain in the lead, Cruz is going to keep trying but I highly doubt he will be able to win more delegates than Trump.
Though there is a chance that Trump could lose the nomination, especially if they goto convention.
~Eyad Hasan
1) Democratic nomination: Clinton solidified her win with the 5 super-mega Tuesday 2 electric boogaloo states. Sanders's fatal mistake was completely ignoring the south and minority outreach, and that shows based on how he's gotten steamrolled in every southern state. He has no chance; the margins by which he'd have to win in states that he's already behind are just unrealistic. I would not be surprised if Hillary refocuses her attention to Trump and the general.
ReplyDelete2) Republican nomination: Trump is holding steady. Lying Ted and low energy Kasich don't look to have much of a chance of winning the majority of delegates; their only chance lies in a contested convention, and I don't see the Republican establishment nominating their #1 boogyman Cruz. I didn't see Bohner's endorsement of Paul Ryan coming. I guess it shows some Republicans are thinking outside of the box, but I don't know how good denying Trump his rightful nomination looks go when a thousand Trump supporters will be outside Cleveland with their torches and pitchforks. Marco's dropout was not a surprise; he's been a dead candidate after his 3-2-1 strategy turned into a 3-4-3-2-4-3 strategy.
3) General: Trump v. Clinton will be u-g-l-y. There's a lot of dirt in the Clintons' past that Trump will not be afraid to talk about. I suspect that Clinton will still win, but given how so many of the rebellious "principled" Bernie-bros refuse to vote for a continuation of the progress of the last 8 years, she might have a hard time. Although they probably wouldn't have found the time to make it to the polls even if Bernie was on the ticket. Either way, buckle up.
I wasn't too surprised that Rubio dropped out, his success in the race wasn't enough and wouldn't ever be enough to trifle with Trump and Cruz. Despite Kasich's enormous success in Ohio, he may also be headed towards a drop out. Hillary's continuous wins are starting to look bad for Bernie, who has yet to surpass the second place spot. Although Trump lead is big, it is no longer large enough to secure him a spot as the Republic nominee. There are a few scenarios where he may lose the nomination, and that will hopefully be the case, as Cruz is closing in.
ReplyDeleteFirstly, I believe Bernie still has a chance for the nomination. Even though Clinton is still ahead of Bernie both in delegates and super delegates, Bernie's rise is happening exponentially (+there are 2,300+ delegates left!). This might be a similar situation to the 2008 democratic primaries. It was thought that Clinton inevitably was going to win (she was even ahead of Obama in the primaries for a period of time), but obviously that didn't happen. Second, at this point in the election, I would not be surprised if a democrat became our next president. One reason, is the amount of Americans receiving a BA is increasing every year. I read an article by Larry Sabato about education levels being tied to constituencies; he stated higher educated individuals are more likely to vote democrat. As American education increases, voters being committed to the GOP decreases. The reason I think Bernie will win in regards to this, is that more and more educated Americans are becoming progressive- especially millennials. So as we see more individuals becoming educated, and more individuals becoming progressive (including a high amount of millennials), and we see those individuals loudly supporting Bernie during his campaign, I believe that they will sway other Hillary supporting democrats to vote for Bernie. Third, I was legitimately surprised that Rubio lost his home state and dropped out of the race. However, I think it is a smart decision he dropped out of the race after losing his home state because this should have been the election he was guaranteed to win. I am even more interested how this election going to turn out because it seems more and more moderate candidates are dropping out. Kasich is the only moderate Republican candidate left, but is he really gaining enough momentum to gain the nomination? Even in Ohio where Kasich gained the most delegates, Trump was not far behind.
ReplyDelete1: Bernie Sanders' upset in Michigan allowed him to gain momentum, but with Clinton's string of victories this past Tuesday, that win was not enough. In order for Sanders to have a stronger foothold in the Democratic race, he needs to appeal to southern states more. Clinton has a lot of support in the southern states, and that is where she is beating Sanders the most. He has the support of younger voters, but these voters are not showing up at the polls; so if Sanders wants to win the nomination he needs to start pandering to older voters in the southern states.
ReplyDelete2: Rubio chose the best time to get out of the race. When you lose in your home state it shows a weakened campaign. Also, by staying in the race this long, Rubio has divided the number of delegates which may prevent Trump from reaching the needed number. However, this will only make the Republican Convention inCleveland messier. The two Republican frontrunners are Trump and Cruz, two people that Rubio has not supported. Rubio will most likely back Kasich as the nominee which may turn the Republican Nomination in to a three person race.
3: While Kasich may have Rubio's support, he needs more than that. It was apparent that a multi-term governor would win his home state. But this is the only win that Kasich has managed to gained; coming in third in almost all of the other state primaries and caucuses. If he wants a clearer path to the nomination, Kasich needs to win more states and get a stronger campaign message out.
Jessica Ellison
1. The chances of Bernie Sanders winning the nomination are rapidly decreasing. So as more time passes, the chances of a Trump/Clinton race are increasing. Also, many more people seem to be realizing that if Bernie did win, he would be severely limited by the republican congress.
ReplyDelete2. Donald Trump will win the republican nomination. Kasich and Cruz are lagging behind and now the Republican establishment is probably spending a lot of time brainstorming to get around Donald Trump.
3. I was not surprised at all when Marco Rubio dropped out. After his failure to win his home state, his decision to drop out was very predictable. I am curious to see how many of his supporters migrate to Kasich, Crux and Trump though.
This week was quite disappointing for Rubio, he was unable to win his home state which has taken quite a toll on him. He not only dropped out of the race but is considering quitting politics all together most likely due to the Trump antics. For Trump this is just a bother notch on his belt the first being Bush now Rubio he seems to be taking candidates out not politically but just wearing them down mentally.
ReplyDeleteKasich made a strong push in Ohio and is looking like the strongest candidate to prevent the implosion of the Republican Party. Hopefully Rubio will slide his delegates Kasichs way boosting him into a prime position. The Republican Party should put their support in him to try to knock down the Goliath that Trump is.
Lastly after all the rioting and issues at the Trump rally I think it could actually be a bad thing if Trump doesn't get the nomination. He has supporters who haven't restrained from violence. This shows that if Trump doesn't get the nomination there could be a large amount of angry, most likely uneducated people who aren't afraid to throw hands.
1) On the democratic side, while I would like to see Sanders win the nomination, I just don't see it happening. Clinton has a huge lead against him and that is just in her delegate count, not to mention her super delegate count is way higher than Sanders. Clinton has a much higher chance of winning over Sanders.
ReplyDelete2) My hope is that Kasich will win the nomination because I see him as the most rational candidate, but again I do not think that it'll happen. He doesn't have anywhere near as many delegates as Trump and his campaign is just now picking up speed. It's too late in the race for him to pull a win.
3) However, if there were to be a contested convention, I could see how Kasich could win. Many of the republican delegates do not want Trump as the nominee and would rather see the Republican Party stick together with either Kasich or Cruz.
1.) Sanders is done for. He just doesn't have the momentum or new coverage to win the nomination while Hilary is all ready gearing up for the general election to take on Trump. Many Democrats are calling for him to drop out and I think it would be best for the Democrats to do so for the election chances in the fall so Hilary can start slowly moving back to the center.
ReplyDelete2.) I think Kasich has the best chance of winning a contested nomination. The delegates at the convention are more likely to be part of the anti-Trump movement. As Lindsey Graham once said, asking to chose between Cruz and Trump is like being asked to chose between being "poisoned or shot." Kasich is far more appealing to the general electorate, has the best chance (and will likely) beat Hilary if he is the nominee, and will win Ohio.
3.) I think Kasich will start to get more coverage and money for his campaign which needs to build up its infrastructure and start working to persuade delegates before Cleveland. Cruz's Wall-Street, hedge fund, and industry magnate funded campaign for the "working men and women" of this country is all ready doing this. I think Trump will go into the convention with the most number of delegates and Cruz with the second, but a lot depends on where Rubio's delegates will go, as some of them must vote for Rubio through all the ballots. I think Rubio will endorse Cruz just because they are colleagues and Cruz has a better change of stopping Trump. Cruz also has a much much better chance of getting wrecked by Hilary in the fall but it turns out Republicans are just too mad to care about electability.
1) On the Democratic party side, Clinton's big Ohio win pretty much cemented her place as the nominee. While Sanders had some good wins, it hasn't been enough and this has caused him to lose a lot of momentum. He's fought against all odds the entire race, so I don't expect him to drop out even though it might be best for the democratic party to be unified with Clinton prior to the national election.
ReplyDelete2) Rubio's drop out did suprise me because I was suprised that he lost his own state. But even now knowing he lost Florida, I still would have expected to continue running, representing the establishment republicans attempt to take as many votes away from Trump as possible.
3. With Rubio's voters mostly going to Kasich along with his big win in Ohio, Kasich seems to have gained a lot of momentum. However he is very far behind and it would take a major change in voting patterns for him to beat Trump in delegates. As of right now, I believe that Trump will continue doing as well as he's somehow done this entire race, either leading to his nomination or to a contested convention.
The results were not a shock. Clinton's wins in four of the five states was not a shock, but I think that Bernie can win the nomination. In 2008, Clinton was winning in the primaries, however, Obama got the nomination.
ReplyDeleteRubio dropping out was also not a surprise. He did the right thing to drop out because it was a battle he would not win against trump. Rubio, I believe had great potential to the nomination and possibly the next president.
I think that Rubio's supporters will go to kasich. In fact, Rubio asked his followers to vote for kasich. Trump and Cruz are too extreme for Rubio and Kasich supporters.
-Alejandra Morales
We are in a place that we never thought that we would be. I think that he are headed toward a Hillary Clinton presidency. Based on polling data and the primaries that we have seen so far, most Republicans do not want to or cannot vote for Donald Trump: most republicans. That doesn’t even begin to look at the whole electorate of the U.S. Knowing this, I believe that the GOP will take the high road and sacrifice the election to keep the party in tact; during the convention they will most likely mysteriously nominate Kasich or Cruz. This will alienate some people, and I can just see the attack ads from November now, ‘Do you really want a candidate that was chosen by Washington?’ One thing that surprised me from Tuesday was Donald’s win in Florida. Like the article said, Florida has a closed primary so that means that real republicans voted for him. However I don’t know if that barreled down to an actual like for trump, or a growing disdain for Marco Rubio. Also, how does Donald Trump keep getting away with such blatant lies? Most politicians have the decency to use clouded language that obscures their sentences from really meaning anything. Trump has repeatedly said that he’s “winning among, blacks, Muslims, and Latinos”, but from poll data it’s pretty apparent that he is not. It’s becoming increasingly more clear and real that his constituents don’t watch the news, or frankly don’t care. One of the few jobs of a democracy is to educate its citizens, and it seems our democracy is on the cusp of failing.
ReplyDeleteMarco Rubio dropping out of the race really shocked me because out of all the Republican candidates, he seem to want to knock Trump off his feet the most. You could see this when he gave his campaign suspension speech when he would say things such as, "we want to unite this country … America needs a conservative movement, one that is based on ideas, principles. Not on fear. Not on anger. Not on preying on people’s frustrations". Most of Rubio's speech was discussing how divided the Republican party was, and it's a shame because, in my opinion, he was the only Republican who really wanted to unify America.
ReplyDeleteKasich's win in Ohio was also shocking, not because he won, but because he was still in the race to win. You had candidates as rich as "Jeb!" who, with all their riches, drop out. You also had much poorer candidates like Fiorina who dropped out so I thought Kasich would've been one also to drop out; it was nice to see a non-radical candidate win in a winner-take-all state to help in not allowing Trump to walk away with the nomination.
After Hillary winning in Ohio, Illinois, Florida, North Carolina, and increasing the delegate difference between her and Sanders to 300, it seems evident that she will be looking to take the Democratic nomination; however, Sanders' shouldn't be disregarded just yet, he has the support of the majority of independents and the momentum he picked up by winning the votes of the youth. That being said, I don't think it'll be enough to close the 300 delegate gap; we may be witnessing the first woman Democratic nominee.
G. Bonsu
1) Kasich is living on false hope. This weeks campaign proved yet again that no one knows exactly why Kasich is still in the race. He won Ohio, which must have been a huge relief for him (considering Rubio lost his home state by an embarrassing margin). However, it seems pretty clear that he doesn’t have a real shot at the White House. Personally I think he might be vying for a VP spot or just some job in the White House, because at this point that seems to be the closest he’s going to get to the big house in DC.
ReplyDelete2) Bernie is almost done. As much as young people would love to believe in a Sanders come back, it looks extremely unrealistic at this point. I also think that a Trump vs. Sanders race to the white house would be a messy one. Although Bernie gave Clinton a run for her money in the beginning, it seems to me that after Tuesday he’s almost officially done. *cue tears of young people everywhere*
3) The final race will most likely be between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, However, based on the article I think Hillary has a clear advantage. Huge supporters of Cruz and Rubio might not be as willing as we think to vote for Trump. It seems to me that once he is thrown in a debate with Clinton, he'll ultimately make himself look even worse than he already has (but who knows maybe that'll just boost his numbers).
1. Though many thought that Rubio had a really good chance in the general elections, Rubio still dropped out of the race. It was probably necessary considering he lost his own state, which is pretty embarrassing. I was still shocked because he was one of two of the republican candidates who was actually reasonable and wanted the best for this country. If Rubio tries again in four years, he could have a fighting chance though.
ReplyDelete2. Kasich won Ohio and I truly think he has a chance to be our country's next president. With Rubio dropping out of the race, Kasich has a very high possibility of getting all of his delegates because of the Rubio's animosity towards Trump and Cruz. Also, at this point I don't see any of the Republican candidates reaching 1237 delegates which means that they would have to go to convention. Seeing how the Republican party hates Trump and that Cruz is part of the Tea Party, I see it going rather well for Kasich in the future.
3. After this past Tuesday, it's pretty obvious that Hillary is going to get the presidential nomination. Even though, we want to have some hope in case Bernie does pull through, it's useless at this point. Hillary will win the democratic nomination. I think the general election race will be between Hillary and Kasich and and in this case, I believe Kasich will win.
1) The race seems to be more clear as to who will be the nominees in both parties. Let's be honest Clinton has had the nomination for weeks now, this previous week changes nothing. On the Republican side the field has narrowed, Rubio supporters will disperse to who they may but that doesn't really change the fact that I think Trump will win the nomination.
ReplyDelete2)Kasich winning Ohio means nothing, it is his home state, he should have won it. The win will not generate the momentum he may need to be a viable candidate, now, more than ever, this is a two horse race between Trump, and a politically correct Trump(Cruz).
3)March Madness is not limited to just basketball anymore. The predictions people have been making one month have been continually disproven later on in this race. Remember when people said Trump was gonna drop out, or when Bernie actually posed a threat to Clinton? Every candidate at this point has their weaknesses, and whoever gets the eventual nomination, whether it be Trump and Clinton, or whoever. It is too early to predict how the general election will unfold because we simply cannot seem to get any predictions right. It will be very interesting to see how this race turns out.
Trump's lead is no longer a surprise. Although Rubio lost his home state, i was surprised he dropped out. All of his supporters were at least not supporting Trump and I hope his supporters turn to Cruz or even Kasich. Kasich has been extremely quiet thus far and him winning his home state doesnt necessarily make him a contender, he could benefit from the ex-rubio supporters. Sanders still cant catch clinton even with his win in Michigan, and young supporters. CLinton's experience will be favored over Sanders any day, regardless of those who dislike her. However, on the republican side, anti-trump voters will vote for anyone other than him. No one thought we would have a Clinton/Trump election... But here we are.
ReplyDeletethis presidential race as of now has not changed much since the primaries held on March 16th. Trump is still edging out Cruz and Hillary is still grinding out Bernie. It is blatantly obvious, and almost planned to be a Trump/Clinton showdown. Yeah Kasich proves a point grabbing his home state but that's the only state he has managed to grab. Trump is dominating the polls for the Republican Party and no one seems able to slow him down, not even Ted Cruz. As for the Democratic Party I believe Bernie Sanders is still polling just to prove a point, a point being that Socialism is desirable among Americans. However Americans today still manage to hold firm to traditional American beliefs even at a time with so many complexities, and this is why Clinton and Trump are inevitably winning the polls. They appeal to traditional American beliefs, and the idea of electing an outsider into the office of presidency. Whether it be a woman, or a business man.
ReplyDelete1. I feel that this campaign is going to be a very long and messy one considering the state of the republican party.
ReplyDelete2. That trump is either going to get very close or get to that magic number and become the nominee even against the establishments liking.
3. I feel that Hilary will win the nomination but it will be a slow climb to the magic number.
-Rishabh Mistry
I feel that we are looking at a Clinton vs Trump race in the General Election. Despite Sanders pulling some upsets, it is clear that his chances of winning nomination aren't terribly great. Even though Kasich won Ohio, that was predicted as Ohio is his home state. He hadn't reached the rock bottom that Rubio had reached and that kept his favor in Ohio fairly high.
ReplyDeleteThe republican party is going to keep trying to stop Trump, but there is very little they can do to stop him. His current trend of winning caucus' and primaries has shown his path to nomination. He has already proven to his supporters, and even those who are yet to vote that he is electable.
Cruz is going to try and gain position over Trump in the convention, however, that will probably cause the Republicans to lose the General Election. Cruz is not as popular as Trump, and his chances of winning office are much lower, especially against Clinton or Sanders.
~Eyad Hasan